CFB Week 4

Started rough with College Football this year.  Hopefully things get better as less data from last season is being used.

Iowa -14, 3.3 units to win 3.0
Wisconsin -17.5, 3.3 units to win 3.0
UConn +1.5, 3.3 units to win 3.0
NIU -7.5, 3.3 units to win 3.0
New Mexico St. -5, 3.3 units to win 3.0
SDSU -3, 3.3 units to win 3.0
Air Force -10, 3.3 units to win 3.0

CFB Week 3 Recap

NIU -3, 3.3 units to win 3.0, loss
Louisville -3, 3.3 units to win 3.0, win
Penn State -6, 3.3 units to win 3.0, win
Southern Miss -7, 3.3 units to win 3.0, loss
Toledo -3, 3.3 units to win 3.0, win
Kentucky -7, 3.3 units to win 3.0, loss


Week 3 Record:  3-3, -.3 units



Overall Record:  5-10-1, -11.8 units

MLB 9/17/2012

This is going to be a busy week, so there will be no MLB from me today.  Tomorrow I will update my MLB and CFB standings and continue on with my strategy for the rest of the month.

MLB 9/16/2012

Phillies ML -200, 2.00 units to win 1.00

Tigers ML -135, 1.35 units to win 1.00

Rangers ML -235, 2.35 units to win 1.00

CFB Week 3

NIU -3, 3.3 units to win 3.0
Louisville -3, 3.3 units to win 3.0
Penn State -6, 3.3 units to win 3.0
Southern Miss -7, 3.3 units to win 3.0
Toledo -3, 3.3 units to win 3.0
Kentucky -7, 3.3 units to win 3.0

I might add 1 or 2 more plays later today.

MLB 9/15/2012

Phillies ML -165, 3.72 units to win 2.25
Tigers ML -130, 1.30 units to win 1.0
Rangers ML -175, 1.75 units to win 1.0

MLB 9/14/2012

No MLB Plays today.  I just finished running my programs and none of the games meet my criteria.  Presently, I am applying 18 filters to each game, spread across the following: total season stats, home/away stats, last 30 games stats, last 20 games stats, and last 10 games stats.  Once today's games are completed, I should have enough September data to re-run my regressions and have a new set of filters.  One thing I have noticed is that there is a higher propensity for randomness in September vs August.   It will be interesting which stats become more relevant as the regular season draws to a close.

MLB 9/13/2012

Yankees ML -145, 1.45 units to win 1.00
Rangers ML -225, 2.25 units to win 1.00

MLB Update

After a nice 4-0 night, all excess juice is now cleared.  Here is the current record:

8 wins, 3 losses, +5.00 units

The above record is my MLB record on this blog since I began posting plays on 9/7/2012.  As always, my complete 2012 MLB second half can be found on Wager Minds

MLB 9/12/2012

Rangers ML -235, 2.82 units to win 1.20
Phillies ML -160, 1.6 units to win 1.0
Reds ML -130, 1.3 units to win 1.0
Yankees ML -140, 1.4 units to win 1.0

MLB 9/11/2012

Phillies ML -225, 2.25 units to win 1.0

Yankees ML -120, 1.20 units to win 1.0

Rangers ML -225, 2.25 units to win 1.0

MLB Update

Just a quick MLB Update.  The current record is as follows:

2 wins, 2 losses, +0 units

Most of the statistics my programs scrape have not been relevant in September, so there have not been a large amount of plays per day.  If you look at the way I'm putting out these plays, you might be able to see what my plan of action is.  Basically, the strategy is to cover any lost juice from lost plays.  Specifically, If I finish with a record of 30 wins, 20 losses, then I would like to be up exactly 10.0 units.  I am always fine-tuning my money management, so the strategy might change.  Thanks and good luck!

MLB 9/10/2012

Reds ML -165, 2.64 units to win 1.60 units.

MLB 9/9/2012

Nationals -160, 1.6 units to win 1.0

CFB Week 2 Recap

Rough beginning to the season for me.  After re-evaluating my models, two of the losses (Nevada, Texas A&M) should not have been plays.  I also missed out on wins by Stanford and ASU.  It's a process.

Temple -9.5, 1.1 units to win 1.0, loss
UConn +3, 1.1 units to win 1.0 push

Indiana -13.5, 2.2 units to win 2.0, win
Notre Dame -14, 2.2 units to win 2.0, loss
Nevada PK, 2.2 units to win 2.0, loss
Iowa -3.5, 2.2 units to win 2.0, loss
Texas A&M PK, 2.2 units to win 2.0, loss

Nebraska -4, 3.3 units to win 3.0, loss
SDSU -6, 3.3 units to win 3.0, win
Houston +3, 3.3 units to win 3.0, loss

Week 2 Record:  2-7-1, -11.5 units

CFB Week 2 Early Evening Plays

Nebraska -4, 3.3 units to win 3.0
SDSU -6, 3.3 units to win 3.0
Houston +3, 3.3 units to win 3.0

CFB Week 2 More Plays

Indiana -13.5, 2.2 units to win 2.0
Notre Dame -14, 2.2 units to win 2.0
Nevada PK, 2.2 units to win 2.0
Iowa -3.5, 2.2 units to win 2.0
Texas A&M PK, 2.2 units to win 2.0

MLB 9/8/2012

Reds -215 ML, 4.30 units to win 2.0 units

CFB Week 2 Early Action

Today I begin my college football picks for 2012.

Temple -9.5, 1.1 units to win 1.0
UConn +3, 1.1 units to win 1.0

MLB 9/7/2012

Reds ML -200, 2 units to win 1 unit.